A final word concerning speeding, and why it requires control and policing :
The car lobby has campaigned against the very existence of speed limits from its inception (in the UK in 1895 as the Self-Propelled Traffic Association). In 1930, they succeeded in gaining abolition of the universal 30mph limit. The casualty rate rose by a quarter over the following two years. Such a low limit might seem absurd to drivers now used to whipping through residential areas, like my home village, at 45 with almost complete impunity; but, if one truly understands the horror in the potential consequence, and is prepared to question such a constraint rationally, it would surely seem wholly reasonable.
A fool might point out that two thirds of road casualties fall victim within a 30mph limit, and contend that such a limit is therefore worthless. In fact, such an observation is nothing less than a self-contained argument for a lower limit.
One must first understand that a reduction in speed will always render 1) an accident much less likely, and 2) its consequences much less severe, for three reasons. First, more time is available to react; but this effect is only linear — the time available is inversely proportional to speed. The kinetic energy of the vehicle varies non-linearly, as the square of speed — it will more than halve when speed is reduced from 30 to 20mph. Braking time varies with vehicle kinetic energy, not speed directly; hence, it halves when speed is reduced from 30 to 20mph.
It is the energy imparted by the vehicle that will smash a child’s head. (If you think this language emotive, you might want to visit any hospital for brain-damaged children. You will find most have been put there by a car.) When that little head meets the bonnet of a SUV (at head height), it must absorb all the energy imparted, directly.
After the mindless claim that speed has nothing to do with risk of collision, or its consequences, the second most common claim made by the road lobby is that statistics should demonstrate a clear correlation between speed limitation and casualty rate. This too is utter nonsense, mainly for all the usual reasons why real scientists avoid reliance upon statistics as far as they possibly can.
First and foremost, they contain information only concerning the domain from which they are derived. For example, speed cameras were applied to a very small proportion of Britain’s roadway. Even so, the information gathered at those locations clearly indicated a fall in both accident and casualty rates once they were installed. However, the claim that one should perceive a rise in those rates nationally, or even across the county, after their removal is nonsense.
Second, statistics are influenced by factors which remain unquantified or which remain entirely unknown; the wider the domain, the more factors there are, and the less specific any prior information concerning them. One thing we most decidedly do not know, regarding speeding, is just how many people, especially children, are deterred from walking and cycling because of it. Hence, the claim that we don’t need speed limits because both accident and casualty rate are falling ‘naturally’ is utterly without foundation. It may simply be that we are removing the people from the risk, not the risk from the people. There is plenty of evidence that people, especially children, are walking and cycling much less.
Then there is congestion, which is increasingly reducing speed on many routes, and doubtless as a result reducing the accident and casualty rates thereon. But this doesn’t help stop the youngster being smashed off his bike, or run down while walking to school, by an adult in a car, in a hurry.
One last contention is that there is no evidence that speed limits save lives. Again, this is utter nonsense. One study, for the Australian Federal Office of Road Safety, concluded that the risk of becoming a casualty in a road accident doubles with every 5kph above a 60kph limit, where such a limit currently applies.
To avoid rational argument, and hold to a model that justifies personal advantage, while demonstrating intolerance of opposition, is a dictionary definition of bigotry, and is not an acceptable basis for policy in a civilized society.
Intolerance must meet greater intolerance.